<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by ATL:
Glenn- you always had some nice write-ups and if I remember right you were good with the WAC, can you share some leans or analysis, just let us know how you are thinking on some of these tilts and what you are looking for, you gotta be chomping at the bit bro<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
No leans or tilts. I'll be sure to write a full analysis when a strong play comes along.
Glenn- you always had some nice write-ups and if I remember right you were good with the WAC, can you share some leans or analysis, just let us know how you are thinking on some of these tilts and what you are looking for, you gotta be chomping at the bit bro<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
No leans or tilts. I'll be sure to write a full analysis when a strong play comes along.
fair enough. I don't think he has any picks this year. I do not understand how someone can let the season go half-by and say nothing looks good. Maybe he is burned out and needs a break, guess it is none of my business, but it gets me to see a good capper like him come up with those statements.
GLTA
GLTA
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Big Orange:
maybe I will and maybe I won't. Maybe you will maybe you won't.
All has very little to do with my question of how a capper can let half the season go by w/o making a pick.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
It's like planets aligning, several things has to happen before I make a play. Here they are:
*Public perception: The books are to smart, I will never claim I know more than them(can anyone?), so I have to wait for a game to come along in which the public perception is so off to the point where the books have to put out a wrong line. There's a lot of offlines, but I mean way off, like 4 pts or more. (Ofcourse, what I deem as a wrong line can also be considered a perception by another person going opposite play from me, so who's to say I'm merely one of the public perception).
*Studying stats and team's tendencies also come into play. Even if I see a wrong line, I still have to study the game, and if I don't feel comfortable with it, I'll pass. So this has to come into play, too. What's good about waiting though, is that the more into the season goes, the more games each team has played so I can gauge their tendencies better. I don't bother looking at how a team does in past years, that was then, this is now.
*Thirdly, and the main reason why I haven't had a pick yet, is because I don't invest much time into watching games or I'm only able to watch games they put on tv. And I'd like to watch a team play atleast once(don't matter if they lose the game or not). I might not need to see the teams, if the other circumstances are so overwhelming, but that rarely happens. I like to see the intensity, the comradity, speed, toughness, the overall energy of a team actually playing on the field, that you don't see in just stats.
If I was a big time handicapper that can throw down big money on games and get big profits, I'd invest in a satellite dish and probably find strong plays much more often. There are strong plays every week I'd assume, but I don't follow or get to watch a lot of teams play, so there might be a strong game to play, but I'm just not familiar enough on the teams.
I basically start out with 2200 bankroll, instead of betting 100 per play, I wait for a strong play to come along and bet 500 on each. For two years, I barely hit over 50% on average plays or leans, so it wasn't worth the mental stress, so figure why not go after only strong plays and bet 5 times the amount on them and hit a much higher percentage. I only had 8 plays all of last season. I'm confident I'll end up with more plays than that this season. Hopefully. It's not as fun cause of the waiting, but when one does come, it's 5 times the excitement
maybe I will and maybe I won't. Maybe you will maybe you won't.
All has very little to do with my question of how a capper can let half the season go by w/o making a pick.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
It's like planets aligning, several things has to happen before I make a play. Here they are:
*Public perception: The books are to smart, I will never claim I know more than them(can anyone?), so I have to wait for a game to come along in which the public perception is so off to the point where the books have to put out a wrong line. There's a lot of offlines, but I mean way off, like 4 pts or more. (Ofcourse, what I deem as a wrong line can also be considered a perception by another person going opposite play from me, so who's to say I'm merely one of the public perception).
*Studying stats and team's tendencies also come into play. Even if I see a wrong line, I still have to study the game, and if I don't feel comfortable with it, I'll pass. So this has to come into play, too. What's good about waiting though, is that the more into the season goes, the more games each team has played so I can gauge their tendencies better. I don't bother looking at how a team does in past years, that was then, this is now.
*Thirdly, and the main reason why I haven't had a pick yet, is because I don't invest much time into watching games or I'm only able to watch games they put on tv. And I'd like to watch a team play atleast once(don't matter if they lose the game or not). I might not need to see the teams, if the other circumstances are so overwhelming, but that rarely happens. I like to see the intensity, the comradity, speed, toughness, the overall energy of a team actually playing on the field, that you don't see in just stats.
If I was a big time handicapper that can throw down big money on games and get big profits, I'd invest in a satellite dish and probably find strong plays much more often. There are strong plays every week I'd assume, but I don't follow or get to watch a lot of teams play, so there might be a strong game to play, but I'm just not familiar enough on the teams.
I basically start out with 2200 bankroll, instead of betting 100 per play, I wait for a strong play to come along and bet 500 on each. For two years, I barely hit over 50% on average plays or leans, so it wasn't worth the mental stress, so figure why not go after only strong plays and bet 5 times the amount on them and hit a much higher percentage. I only had 8 plays all of last season. I'm confident I'll end up with more plays than that this season. Hopefully. It's not as fun cause of the waiting, but when one does come, it's 5 times the excitement
